There is just one standout expiry to watch out for in the day ahead, as highlighted in bold below.
That being for USD/JPY at the 155.75 level. Under normal circumstances if USD/JPY does trade down below 156.00, the large notional amount could contribute to a stickier or more pinning-type of price action and congestion around the strike as expiry approaches. In essence, it may behave somewhat like a magnet zone but it is not inherently bullish nor bearish and should not be treated as a guaranteed target.
The fact that the expiry level does not coincide with any key technical levels also lessens the impact of potential pull of the expiry towards price action for the time being. The next major support level for USD/JPY is only seen closer to the 155.00 level. So, that is some distance away from the relevant expiry level noted above.
If anything else, just be watchful of choppier trading if price action gravitates toward 155.75 into the expiry window. But any price movements away from that area, and its influence should diminish fairly quickly.
All that being said, USD/JPY trading is now heavily influenced by intervention risks more than anything else. Trading sentiment is very much a psychological game at this stage, with traders cautious after the sharp decline in the currency pair last week.
In that lieu, the expiries above will also take on lesser importance as traders are more focused on other key aspects that will be influencing price action. A US holiday today will also see thinner liquidity conditions and exacerbate any price movements, which have been what Tokyo has targeted with previous interventions. So, that is likely to see trading conditions be more cautious in general.
For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post here and/or refer to the Q&A below.







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