China data: Q4 GDP 4.5% y/y (expected 4.4%), Dec retail sales +0.9% y/y (expected 1.2%)


Noting the data, I’ll be separately with more on all this.

Gross Domestic Product for Q4 2025 4.5% y/y is a beat y/y and q/q

  • expected 4.4%, prior 4.8%

1.2% q/q

  • expected 1.0%, prior 1.1%

December 2025 data:

Retail Sales 0.9% y/y

  • expected 1.2%, prior 1.3%

Industrial Production 5.2% y/y

  • expected 5.0%, prior 4.8%

Fixed Asset Investment -3.8% y/y

  • expected -3.0%, prior -2.6%

January to December property investment -17.2% y/y



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