The move lower began earlier today when the pair broke beneath several important technical levels in quick succession, including the 200-hour moving average at 1.1628, the 100-hour moving average at 1.1620, and an upward-sloping trendline near 1.1600. Those breaks opened the door for increased downside momentum.

Looking lower, the next key target comes in at the April 6 low of 1.15046. A move below that level would have traders focusing on the 1.1450 area, with the 2026 low at 1.14089 representing a more significant downside objective.

Fundamentally, the move is being fueled by a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields following the stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report. The 10-year yield is up 6.3 basis points, while the 2-year yield has surged 11.7 basis points, helping to underpin the U.S. dollar. The employment data has also added a new layer of intrigue ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting on June 16-17. Recall that three policymakers dissented at the last meeting, favoring the removal of the easing bias. With labor market strength persisting and higher oil prices beginning to influence inflation expectations, the debate may increasingly shift toward whether policy should move to neutral—or even hint at a more hawkish stance—rather than maintain an easing bias.